Date of Award
In this essay, I discuss various attempts to account for the relationship between physical probability attributions and the structure of the world. Starting with basic intuitions about the concept of probability, I address the following questions: what are the truthmakers for probability statements? How do we know a particular probability assignment is the ‘correct’ one? Furthermore, what does ‘correct’ mean for probabilities? What does it mean for a system to have a particular probability to display a certain property? I establish a set of criteria for evaluating interpretations of probability for their effectiveness at describing and explaining the role of probability in science, quantum mechanics in particular. I conclude that an objective interpretation is required, and that propensity interpretation and the best systems analysis are comparably effective.
Rosenstock, Sarita, "On the Interpretation of Physical Probability" (2012). Senior Theses. 690.