Date of Submission

Spring 2019

Academic Programs and Concentrations

Political Studies

Project Advisor 1

Simon Gilhooley

Project Advisor 2

Simon Gilhooley

Abstract/Artist's Statement

In 2016, Donald Trump inspired a "red wave" of voting that granted the Republicans control of the House and Senate for the first time since 2006. This seemingly should be a great time to be a Republican incumbent, especially in a Republican district. However, Scott Garrett, a long term conservative incumbent in New Jersey's fifth congressional district, fell to Josh Gottheimer, a Clinton-backed Democrat. So what happened? I conclude that Garrett fails to capture a new base that comes into his district after redistricting, loses his original base after failing to correctly achieve a Dual Constituency approach, and is hindered by bad public perception following regrettable comments.

Open Access Agreement

Open Access

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons License
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